Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.018248 0.020316 0.022391 0.024624 0.026953 0.029305 0.031855
2025-03-16 0.013660 0.016845 0.020179 0.023895 0.027895 0.032045 0.036654
2025-03-23 0.011065 0.014942 0.019146 0.023965 0.029270 0.034878 0.041202
2025-03-30 0.008862 0.013142 0.017947 0.023595 0.029936 0.036741 0.044512
2025-04-06 0.006941 0.011421 0.016639 0.022928 0.030118 0.037940 0.046969
2025-04-13 0.005109 0.009580 0.015021 0.021761 0.029614 0.038275 0.048377
2025-04-20 0.004352 0.009000 0.014836 0.022195 0.030874 0.040524 0.051851
2025-04-27 0.003319 0.007915 0.013939 0.021714 0.031019 0.041469 0.053826
2025-05-04 0.002398 0.006844 0.012971 0.021078 0.030927 0.042100 0.055404
2025-05-11 0.001933 0.006384 0.012754 0.021329 0.031853 0.043869 0.058244
2025-05-18 0.001416 0.005739 0.012237 0.021169 0.032259 0.045015 0.060353
2025-05-25 0.000891 0.004938 0.011438 0.020604 0.032145 0.045530 0.061718
2025-06-01 0.000479 0.004246 0.010826 0.020370 0.032562 0.046825 0.064177
2025-06-08 0.000138 0.003416 0.009944 0.019771 0.032552 0.047660 0.066165
2025-06-15 0.000018 0.002962 0.009587 0.019846 0.033359 0.049448 0.069248
2025-06-22 NaN 0.002396 0.008964 0.019507 0.033616 0.050557 0.071518
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001804 0.008185 0.018896 0.033487 0.051174 0.073190
2025-07-06 NaN 0.001164 0.007144 0.017829 0.032723 0.050988 0.073888
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001021 0.007102 0.018225 0.033856 0.053101 0.077286
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000692 0.006532 0.017786 0.033863 0.053819 0.079018
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000400 0.005903 0.017205 0.033655 0.054251 0.080393
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000301 0.005792 0.017434 0.034526 0.056010 0.083343
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000170 0.005464 0.017288 0.034874 0.057109 0.085494